Paksi SE 1-1 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Feb 2025

Paksi SE
1-1 HT 0-0
Györi ETO
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Paksi SE vs Györi ETO Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over Pick
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.07
2-3
37%
1.93
4-5
27%
2.56
6+
14%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE v Györi ETO — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.80/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.92
+21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
29.4 Crosses 22.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3

Paksi SE vs Györi ETO Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Györi ETO
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.79 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 248
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-1 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
30.11.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
27.07.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 2-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
22.03.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-2 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
31.08.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.04.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 3-4 HT 3-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC

Paksi SE 1-1 Györi ETO — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
1-1
AWAY Györi ETO
1.95 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
281 Passes 219
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE and Györi ETO shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paksi SE had 54% of the ball to Györi ETO's 46%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.95 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Györi ETO led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paksi SE and 1.83 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Györi ETO?

Paksi SE 1-1 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 49%, draw 22%, Györi ETO 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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