Diosgyor 1-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.04
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.47
6+
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.78/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.76
+1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.1 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ujpest
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
04.05.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 7-0 HT 4-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
11.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
07.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.02.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
1-1
AWAY Ujpest
1.88 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
298 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor and Ujpest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 47% of the ball to Ujpest's 53%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.88 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Diosgyor and 2.00 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Ujpest?

Diosgyor 1-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 39%, draw 27%, Ujpest 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diosgyor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
1 Feb 2025
16:30 Paksi SE vs Györi ETO Analysis →
19:00 MOL Fehervar vs Puskas FC Analysis →