Santa Clara vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Santa Clara
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
POR
1-2
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
PORLC
Santa Clara 2-1 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara squeezed past Casa Pia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Clara had 54% of the ball to Casa Pia's 46%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.93 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casa Pia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara and 1.00 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Casa Pia?
Santa Clara 2-1 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 38%, draw 29%, Casa Pia 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.