Gil Vicente vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gil Vicente v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Gil Vicente vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 3-0
Estoril
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril edged past Gil Vicente 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gil Vicente had 46% of the ball to Estoril's 54%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 2.09 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gil Vicente.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.00 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Estoril?
Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 45%, draw 31%, Estoril 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.