Estoril vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 3-0
Estoril
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Gil Vicente
POR
1-1
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente saw off Estoril 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Estoril at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Estoril had 50% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 50%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.80 to 2.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estoril and 1.33 for Gil Vicente.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Gil Vicente?
Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Gil Vicente?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estoril 42%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.