Benfica 6-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

Benfica
6-1 HT 5-0
Vizela
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Benfica vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.98
2-3 Goals
42%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.3
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
30.0
X/1
22%
3.39
X/2
4%
29.5
X/X
8%
10.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.9
2/2
6%
22.45
2/X
5%
29.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-11.8pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.2pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Benfica v Vizela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.82/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.49
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
23.5 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Benfica vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vizela
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.10 xG 1.12
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
526 Passes 263
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.02.2024 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POK
16.09.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
25.02.2023 Vizela Vizela 0-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
02.09.2022 Benfica Benfica 2-1 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR
11.03.2022 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
24.10.2021 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR

Benfica 6-1 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
6-1
AWAY Vizela
3.66 xG 1.59
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
542 Passes 312
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica swept aside Vizela 6-1. Half-time: 5-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica had 61% of the ball to Vizela's 39%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.66 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benfica and 0.67 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Vizela?

Benfica 6-1 Vizela in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Benfica 67%, draw 19%, Vizela 14%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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