Sporting Braga vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Sporting Braga
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Sporting Braga
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
POK
2-2
HT 2-0
Sporting Braga
POR
4-0
HT 2-0
Farense
POR
Sporting Braga 2-1 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga nicked a narrow win over Farense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 63% of the ball to Farense's 37%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 3.17 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Braga's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.00 for Farense.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Farense?
Sporting Braga 2-1 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 59%, draw 22%, Farense 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.