Al Fateh 1-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Feb 2025

Al Fateh
1-1 HT 0-1
Al-Qadsiah
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
4.9
2-3 Goals
50%
1.92
4-5 Goals
20%
2.59
6+ Goals
9%
6.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.9 — our 21% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.5pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Fateh v Al-Qadsiah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.21/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.05
+32% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +148%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 81%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
14.8 Crosses 24.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.05.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
19.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.01.2019 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
31.08.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.01.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-4 HT 0-3 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD

Al Fateh 1-1 Al-Qadsiah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.46 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh and Al-Qadsiah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qadsiah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 46% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.46 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Fateh and 0.83 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Fateh 1-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 21%, draw 27%, Al-Qadsiah 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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