Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-3 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.33
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.92
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +130%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
18.2 Crosses 12.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Kholood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.77 xG 0.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
626 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
26.09.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-3
AWAY Al Kholood
3.97 xG 1.29
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
480 Passes 266
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Kholood 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 63% of the ball to Al Kholood's 37%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 3.97 to 1.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.50 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Kholood?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-3 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 59%, draw 21%, Al Kholood 20%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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