Al Khaleej 1-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.08/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.1 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Damac FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 1.11
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
298 Passes 432
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
29.03.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
30.10.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
30.09.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
18.02.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-0 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
02.09.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.02 xG 2.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
381 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej and Damac FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Khaleej at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 57% of the ball to Damac FC's 43%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.02 to 2.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Khaleej and 0.83 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Damac FC?

Al Khaleej 1-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 41%, draw 28%, Damac FC 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Khaleej) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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