Başakşehir FK 4-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

Başakşehir FK
4-0 HT 1-0
Samsunspor
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 34% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.68
X/2
7%
6.71
X/X
15%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.27
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.68 — our 24% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.58/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
415 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.7 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 1.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
455 Passes 215
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.09.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.03.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
22.10.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
11.01.2014 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-3 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.08.2013 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
29.01.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-4 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL

Başakşehir FK 4-0 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
4-0
AWAY Samsunspor
1.33 xG 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK cruised past Samsunspor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 44% of the ball to Samsunspor's 56%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.33 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.17 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor?

Başakşehir FK 4-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 46%, draw 29%, Samsunspor 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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