Hatayspor 2-3 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.07
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.23
X/2
7%
5.53
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.38
2/X
9%
12.3
Value flag · X/1 at 6.23 — our 18% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.19/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.22
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.9 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 379
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 0-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
21.04.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
01.12.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.01.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
11.04.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 4-1 HT 3-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
09.02.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
2-3
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.96 xG 2.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
367 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor edged past Hatayspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Antalyaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 56% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 44%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.96 to 2.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Antalyaspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hatayspor and 2.33 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Antalyaspor?

Hatayspor 2-3 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 39%, draw 28%, Antalyaspor 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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