Antalyaspor 3-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
12%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.54
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.9
X/X
15%
4.11
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
18%
4.24
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.05
Value flag · 2/X at 13.05 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-4.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.32/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.61
-1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.5 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
01.12.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.01.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
11.04.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 4-1 HT 3-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
09.02.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TÜK
20.11.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
3-2
AWAY Hatayspor
2.37 xG 1.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
321 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor edged past Hatayspor 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Antalyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 63% of the ball to Hatayspor's 37%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.37 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.33 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Hatayspor?

Antalyaspor 3-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 35%, draw 32%, Hatayspor 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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