Kasımpaşa 2-2 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

Kasımpaşa
2-2 HT 1-0
Adana Demirspor
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kasımpaşa vs Adana Demirspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
10%
3.96
X/2
12%
11.05
X/X
14%
6.39
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
8%
7.85
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Adana Demirspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
2.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.47
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.9 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kasımpaşa vs Adana Demirspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.68 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
304 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
24.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
15.04.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 5-0 HT 3-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-4 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
17.04.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-0 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
26.11.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Kasımpaşa 2-2 Adana Demirspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
2-2
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.40 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
304 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa and Adana Demirspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 53% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 47%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.40 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.83 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Adana Demirspor?

Kasımpaşa 2-2 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 49%, draw 26%, Adana Demirspor 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Over 2.5
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