Çaykur Rizespor 0-5 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.65
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
7%
9.13
X/2
19%
4.18
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.24
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.56/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.99
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
21.8 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.70 xG 2.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
260 Passes 426
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
01.10.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
19.01.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
22.04.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-6 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
05.12.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
30.01.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0-5
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.50 xG 1.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
357 Passes 385
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe cruised past Çaykur Rizespor 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 48% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 52%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.50 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 3.50 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?

Çaykur Rizespor 0-5 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 25%, draw 24%, Fenerbahçe 50%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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