Rheindorf Altach 3-1 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.91
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
10%
6.28
X/2
12%
5.07
X/X
17%
3.8
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
25%
3.52
2/X
3%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rheindorf Altach
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sturm Graz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
216 Passes 283
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
30.11.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
24.08.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-1 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
10.12.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
02.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
06.11.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rheindorf Altach
3-1
AWAY Sturm Graz
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rheindorf Altach beat Sturm Graz 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rheindorf Altach had 54% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 46%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rheindorf Altach and 1.50 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz?

Rheindorf Altach 3-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rheindorf Altach 26%, draw 29%, Sturm Graz 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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