Rheindorf Altach 0-2 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.44
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
12%
6.08
X/2
12%
5.14
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
27%
3.43
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.24/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.47
-28% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.0 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rheindorf Altach
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sturm Graz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 272
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
24.08.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-1 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
10.12.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
02.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
06.11.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
13.08.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rheindorf Altach
0-2
AWAY Sturm Graz
0.85 xG 2.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
176 Passes 279
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 43
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz saw off Rheindorf Altach 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rheindorf Altach had 43% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 57%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.85 to 2.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rheindorf Altach and 1.83 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz?

Rheindorf Altach 0-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rheindorf Altach 29%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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