Salzburg 2-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.77
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.97
X/2
12%
7.15
X/X
7%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.25
2/2
11%
4.82
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.95
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.1 Crosses 15.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
378 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 4-2 HT 3-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
30.03.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
01.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 2-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.04.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.46 xG 3.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 9
303 Passes 312
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg nicked a narrow win over Rapid Wien 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 47% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 53%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 1.46 to 3.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rapid Wien.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Salzburg and 1.67 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?

Salzburg 2-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 49%, draw 23%, Rapid Wien 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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