Salzburg 4-2 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.94
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
8%
4.24
X/2
11%
11.4
X/X
13%
6.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.45
2/2
7%
8.67
2/X
8%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
2.06/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.86
+0% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.5 Crosses 16.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
01.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 2-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.04.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.12.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
4-2
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.35 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
335 Passes 433
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg saw off Rapid Wien 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salzburg had 44% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 56%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.35 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salzburg and 1.33 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?

Salzburg 4-2 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 50%, draw 26%, Rapid Wien 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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