LASK Linz 3-3 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.43
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.5
X/2
13%
8.37
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
7%
6.31
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.5 — our 26% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.59/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.58
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.3 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hartberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.84 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.05.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
12.04.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.11.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
03.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
3-3
AWAY Hartberg
3.03 xG 1.26
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
462 Passes 218
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz and Hartberg shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, LASK Linz had 64% of the ball to Hartberg's 36%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.03 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LASK Linz and 0.50 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

LASK Linz 3-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 52%, draw 23%, Hartberg 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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