LASK Linz 2-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.75
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
7%
10.5
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
13%
8.49
2/X
6%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.75
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.7 Crosses 12.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
454 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
12.04.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.11.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
03.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
21.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-0
AWAY Hartberg
2.46 xG 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 10
315 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz saw off Hartberg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 51% of the ball to Hartberg's 49%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.46 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for LASK Linz and 1.00 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

LASK Linz 2-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 48%, draw 27%, Hartberg 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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