Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0-2 Negele Arsi Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.01
+46% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0-2
AWAY Negele Arsi Ketema
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema got the better of Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Negele Arsi Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 48% of the ball to Negele Arsi Ketema's 52%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0-2 Negele Arsi Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 28%, draw 33%, Negele Arsi Ketema 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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