Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.9pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.15/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.66
+24% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelle Kenema
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2025 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 1-1 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
31.10.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
1-1
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 48% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 52%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mekelle Kenema and 1.50 for Ethiopia Bunna.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 30%, draw 28%, Ethiopia Bunna 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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