Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-2 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.63
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
36%
Draw
34%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.21
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 HT 0-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
23.11.2024 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-2
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema nicked a narrow win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Arba Minch Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 48% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 52%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arba Minch Kenema led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 1.50 for Arba Minch Kenema.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-2 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 33%, draw 36%, Arba Minch Kenema 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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