Fasil Ketema 1-0 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
43%
2.7
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
29%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
43%
Draw
34%
+9.7pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+14.2pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
0.69/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.66
-28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 2-1 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
22.09.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
04.07.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
18.01.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
1-0
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema squeezed past Kedus Giorgis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 51% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 49%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fasil Ketema and 1.75 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Fasil Ketema 1-0 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 27%, draw 43%, Kedus Giorgis 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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