Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.38
Over 2.5
27%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.89
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
6.58
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.8pp
73%
Under 2.5
69%
+3.6pp
27%
Over 2.5
31%
-3.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.5pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.86/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.15
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.10.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 HT 2-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
19.09.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-0 HT 2-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.05.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 5-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
20.01.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Aluminium Arak shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 37% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 38%, draw 37%, Aluminium Arak 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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