Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monarcas Morelia 0-1 Cancun FC — Actual Match Statistics
Cancun FC nicked a narrow win over Monarcas Morelia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monarcas Morelia at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Monarcas Morelia had 72% of the ball to Cancun FC's 28%, shots finished 22-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 2.00 for Cancun FC.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?
Monarcas Morelia 0-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 59%, draw 21%, Cancun FC 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Over 2.5 went the other way.