Monarcas Morelia 3-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.45/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.52
-11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
4 Corners 6
24.08.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
13.04.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
26.10.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
15.03.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
20.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
02.03.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monarcas Morelia
3-1
AWAY Cancun FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Monarcas Morelia beat Cancun FC 3-1 in the Mexico - Primera A on 14 Nov 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, Monarcas Morelia had 60% of the ball to Cancun FC's 40%, shots finished 21-14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 2.17 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Monarcas Morelia 3-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 55%, draw 24%, Cancun FC 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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