Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.38
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
38%
-9.1pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.40/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.04
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
1W-0D-4L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
03.08.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
25.05.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
18.05.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
06.04.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
20.10.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
1-0
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over CDS Tampico Madero 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; Leones Negros Udeg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 29% of the ball to CDS Tampico Madero's 71%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.60 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 29%, draw 36%, CDS Tampico Madero 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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