Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting CP v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting CP 2-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP squeezed past Nacional 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 85%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (72%) landed.
On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in Sporting CP's favour, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.78 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.17 a game for Sporting CP against 0.50 for Nacional.
Sporting CP vs Nacional Result & Final Score
Sporting CP 2 - 1 Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 85%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 85%, draw 9%, Nacional 6%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.