Nancy 3-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 1 Mar 2024

Nancy
3-1 HT 0-1
Nimes
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.35
X/2
13%
6.86
X/X
9%
3.84
2/1
13%
30.5
2/2
10%
5.67
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.61/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.66
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Nimes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.08 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 255
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Nimes Nimes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
30.04.2022 Nancy Nancy 1-3 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
11.12.2021 Nimes Nimes 2-1 HT 2-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
16.01.2018 Nancy Nancy 0-2 HT 0-2 Nimes Nimes FR2
14.08.2017 Nimes Nimes 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
22.01.2016 Nancy Nancy 3-4 HT 2-2 Nimes Nimes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
3-1
AWAY Nimes
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy saw off Nimes 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nancy had 58% of the ball to Nimes's 42%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nancy and 2.00 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Nimes?

Nancy 3-1 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nancy 42%, draw 26%, Nimes 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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