Niort 3-2 Marignane GCB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
17%
3.91
X/2
6%
8.83
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
13%
7.14
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niort EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 24%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.26
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niort
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marignane GCB
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.09.2023 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB 1-2 HT 1-1 Niort Niort FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niort
3-2
AWAY Marignane GCB
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niort vs Marignane GCB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort squeezed past Marignane GCB 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Niort as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Niort had 59% of the ball to Marignane GCB's 41%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Niort vs Marignane GCB?

Niort 3-2 Marignane GCB in the France - National League 1 on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niort vs Marignane GCB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niort win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Niort 51%, draw 25%, Marignane GCB 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niort) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niort) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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