Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester United U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals
Manchester United U21 2-4 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Derby County U21 beat Manchester United U21 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Manchester United U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Manchester United U21 had 53% of the ball to Derby County U21's 47%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.70 to 2.08.
What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21?
Manchester United U21 2-4 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 45%, draw 20%, Derby County U21 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United U21) went the other way.