Norwich City U21 2-3 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.94
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.28
No
36%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
74%
-10.4pp
36%
BTTS No
26%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.51/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.53
+50% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 7.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City U21
2-3
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
0.93 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
429 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 squeezed past Norwich City U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Middlesbrough U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Norwich City U21 had 58% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 42%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.93 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Norwich City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Norwich City U21 2-3 Middlesbrough U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Norwich City U21 37%, draw 31%, Middlesbrough U21 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norwich City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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