Aveley 1-2 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 38%
-25% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.11/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.35
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-0 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
17.02.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
28.08.2023 Aveley Aveley 3-0 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
1-2
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond edged past Aveley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Hampton & Richmond made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aveley had 33% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 67%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aveley had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aveley and 0.67 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Hampton & Richmond?

Aveley 1-2 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aveley win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aveley 36%, draw 28%, Hampton & Richmond 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aveley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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