Leeds United 1-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.0
X/1
20%
3.74
X/2
7%
15.65
X/X
10%
6.5
2/1
12%
23.0
2/2
5%
13.85
2/X
7%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.09/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.94
+5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -25%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 67%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.0 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
432 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
29.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
18.08.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.05.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 3-1 HT 2-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
29.12.2020 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-5 HT 0-4 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
01.01.2020 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
1-1
AWAY West Bromwich
1.29 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
396 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United and West Bromwich shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Leeds United carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leeds United had 53% of the ball to West Bromwich's 47%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.29 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leeds United and 0.67 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs West Bromwich?

Leeds United 1-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 62%, draw 22%, West Bromwich 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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