Oxford United 2-3 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
6%
7.72
X/2
18%
4.56
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.66
2/X
10%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 51%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.03/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.56
+22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.4 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coventry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.95 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2024 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
16.08.2024 Coventry Coventry 3-2 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
06.01.2024 Coventry Coventry 6-2 HT 3-1 Oxford United Oxford United FAK
31.08.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 3-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
23.03.2019 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
09.09.2018 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
2-3
AWAY Coventry
1.48 xG 2.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
260 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry edged past Oxford United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oxford United had 49% of the ball to Coventry's 51%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.48 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oxford United and 2.50 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Coventry?

Oxford United 2-3 Coventry in the England - Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 27%, draw 27%, Coventry 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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