Coventry 1-0 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.93
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
17%
3.98
X/2
7%
11.3
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
5%
20.9
2/2
8%
8.11
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 21%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.40/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.11
-49% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.0 Crosses 13.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oxford United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.98 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Coventry Coventry 3-2 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
06.01.2024 Coventry Coventry 6-2 HT 3-1 Oxford United Oxford United FAK
31.08.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 3-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
23.03.2019 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
09.09.2018 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İN1
14.08.2018 Oxford United Oxford United 2-0 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-0
AWAY Oxford United
1.02 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
424 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry edged past Oxford United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coventry had 53% of the ball to Oxford United's 47%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Coventry and 1.83 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Oxford United?

Coventry 1-0 Oxford United in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Coventry 51%, draw 23%, Oxford United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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