Stoke City 0-0 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.81
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.53
X/2
16%
5.67
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.96
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.15/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.29
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.5 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Watford
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Watford Watford 3-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.12.2023 Watford Watford 1-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
19.08.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
08.05.2023 Watford Watford 2-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
02.10.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 0-4 HT 0-1 Watford Watford İNCL
21.09.2021 Watford Watford 1-3 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
0-0
AWAY Watford
0.61 xG 0.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
213 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City and Watford played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Watford at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City had 37% of the ball to Watford's 63%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stoke City and 1.83 for Watford.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Watford?

Stoke City 0-0 Watford in the England - Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 33%, draw 26%, Watford 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Watford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Watford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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