Watford vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Watford v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Watford vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Watford
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-4
HT 0-1
Watford
İNCL
1-3
HT 0-1
Stoke City
İNLK
1-2
HT 0-0
Watford
İNCL
Watford 3-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Watford swept aside Stoke City 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Watford found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Watford had 55% of the ball to Stoke City's 45%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.27 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Watford and 1.00 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Watford vs Stoke City?
Watford 3-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Watford vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Watford 38%, draw 27%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Watford), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.