Norwich City 2-2 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.35
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
16%
5.24
X/2
9%
6.13
X/X
10%
4.49
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.19
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.24/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.23
-8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.9 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
383 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.11.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 1-3 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
07.04.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
08.01.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK
17.12.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 0-2 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.03.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
2-2
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
2.12 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 424
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City and Blackburn Rovers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Norwich City had 46% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 54%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.12 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Norwich City and 1.33 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Norwich City 2-2 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 45%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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