Swansea City 3-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
22%
4.36
X/2
9%
7.41
X/X
11%
4.59
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.63
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.56/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.09
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.2 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Preston North End
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 0.71
61% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
481 Passes 255
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
26.08.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
19.04.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 4-2 HT 3-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
01.11.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
22.01.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
28.08.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 3-1 HT 2-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
3-0
AWAY Preston North End
2.42 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
472 Passes 277
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City swept aside Preston North End 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Swansea City had 60% of the ball to Preston North End's 40%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.42 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swansea City and 1.50 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Preston North End?

Swansea City 3-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 48%, draw 26%, Preston North End 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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