Portsmouth 0-0 Luton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Aug 2024

Portsmouth
0-0 HT 0-0
Luton Town
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Portsmouth vs Luton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.99
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
8%
7.14
X/2
9%
4.69
X/X
16%
4.96
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.76
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Luton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Luton Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.42
-14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +146%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
– Crosses 20.9
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Portsmouth vs Luton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Luton Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 217
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2019 Luton Town Luton Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
04.08.2018 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Luton Town Luton Town İN1
04.11.2017 Luton Town Luton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
02.01.2017 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Luton Town Luton Town İN2
22.11.2016 Luton Town Luton Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN2
28.12.2015 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İN2

Portsmouth 0-0 Luton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
0-0
AWAY Luton Town
0.93 xG 0.95
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
465 Passes 186
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Luton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth and Luton Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Luton Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 66% of the ball to Luton Town's 34%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portsmouth and 0.83 for Luton Town.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Luton Town?

Portsmouth 0-0 Luton Town in the England - Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Luton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 27%, draw 28%, Luton Town 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luton Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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