Burnley vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Cardiff City
İNP
1-2
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNCL
Burnley 5-0 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley swept aside Cardiff City 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Burnley had 48% of the ball to Cardiff City's 52%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Burnley and 0.67 for Cardiff City.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Cardiff City?
Burnley 5-0 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Cardiff City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Burnley 55%, draw 25%, Cardiff City 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.