Guiseley 1-0 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Mar 2025

Guiseley
1-0 HT 1-0
Ashton United
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Guiseley vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guiseley v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.69/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.75
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Guiseley vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ashton United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.11.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 2-4 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
31.08.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 3-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United FAK
10.02.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
08.11.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 0-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP

Guiseley 1-0 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
1-0
AWAY Ashton United
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Guiseley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Guiseley had 50% of the ball to Ashton United's 50%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guiseley and 1.33 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Ashton United?

Guiseley 1-0 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 39%, draw 27%, Ashton United 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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