Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Mar 2025

Real Betis
2-1 HT 1-1
Real Madrid
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Betis vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.3
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
10%
7.95
X/2
13%
4.92
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
24%
2.54
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.3 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 52%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.10/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.18
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
15.7 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Real Betis vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.76 xG 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
385 Passes 558
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
25.05.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
09.12.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
05.03.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
03.09.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.05.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-1
AWAY Real Madrid
2.39 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
340 Passes 473
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Betis had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid's 58%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.39 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Real Betis and 0.83 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Real Madrid?

Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 30%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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