Girona 2-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
14%
4.92
X/2
11%
7.0
X/X
10%
4.38
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.15
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
1.63/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
+30% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.9 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
451 Passes 345
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
28.01.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
27.10.2023 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
23.05.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
26.08.2022 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
20.04.2019 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
2-2
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.66 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
416 Passes 412
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Girona vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona and Celta Vigo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Girona had 51% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 49%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.66 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Girona vs Celta Vigo?

Girona 2-2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Girona 43%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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