Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Mar 2025

Rayo Vallecano
1-1 HT 0-0
Sevilla
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
18%
5.21
X/2
11%
5.93
X/X
11%
3.63
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayo Vallecano v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.21/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
24.2 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sevilla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
05.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
07.10.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 0-2 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
19.02.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
29.10.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
13.03.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano
1-1
AWAY Sevilla
2.87 xG 0.60
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
433 Passes 211
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 64% of the ball to Sevilla's 36%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.87 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.17 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla?

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 44%, draw 25%, Sevilla 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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