Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.85
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.35
X/2
14%
7.37
X/X
12%
4.03
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.99
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.37/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
26.6 Crosses 16.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
07.10.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 0-2 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
19.02.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
29.10.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
13.03.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
15.08.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 3-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.09 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
339 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla edged past Rayo Vallecano 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sevilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sevilla had 52% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sevilla and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 38%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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