Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Nov 2024

Athletic Bilbao
1-0 HT 1-0
Real Sociedad
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.48
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.79
X/2
14%
6.58
X/X
14%
3.49
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.21
+16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.4 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 320
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
30.09.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
15.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
14.01.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
05.08.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ
20.02.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
1-0
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.34 xG 0.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
229 Passes 405
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao squeezed past Real Sociedad 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 40% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 60%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.34 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.17 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 41%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
24 Nov 2024
16:00 Osasuna vs Villarreal Analysis →
18:15 Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Analysis →
20:30 Leganes vs Real Madrid Analysis →